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Game Theory Analysis

CHICKEN

Chicken

Duel: 0.8% (100% rakeback for $50k/day)

Stake / Shuffle: 2%

Rainbet: 4%

Guide your chicken across a road of oncoming traffic, one lane at a time. Each safe crossing multiplies your winnings. Stop and cash out, or push further for bigger rewards. One wrong step and you lose it all.

Chicken Game quick sim

Pick a provider, difficulty, and target step. Results are per 1 unit wagered.

EV -0.008

Multiplier ladder 1.32x - 1.8x - 2.49x - 3.52x - 5.12x - 7.68x - 11.95x - 19.42x - 33.29x - 61.03x - 122.06x - 274.64x - 732.38x - 2,563.33x - 15,379.97x

House Edge

0.80%

STD

3.297056

P(win)

8.301084%

Win Multiplier

11.950247x

Where to Play Chicken

Best current value by provider.

Duel

0.00% edge

100% RTP mode up to $50k/day.

Stake / Shuffle

2.00% edge

Rainbet

4.00% edge

OVERVIEW

Chicken Game is a step-based crash-style game with fixed odds per difficulty.

SETUP

  • Choose your bet amount.
  • Choose difficulty: Easy, Medium, Hard, or Expert.
  • Choose your target step S and cash out there if reached.

ROUND FLOW

  • Each round either reaches your selected step or busts before that step.
  • If the run reaches step S, you win the listed multiplier for that difficulty and step.
  • If it fails before step S, the bet loses.

PAYOUT LOGIC

Your chosen step controls hit rate and payout tradeoff:

  • Lower step -> higher hit rate -> lower payout.
  • Higher step -> lower hit rate -> higher payout.

OVERVIEW

Chicken Game uses fixed probability and payout tables for each difficulty and step. The edge comes from how those multipliers are priced, and edge is charged at the first step. There's no math formula, each provider decides on how to reward users for each step. The higher the difficulty the less likely you're to be able to cross

PARAMETERS

SymbolMeaning
M(D,S)payout multiplier for that difficulty and step

WIN PROBABILITY

Per difficulty and step, the hit rate is fixed:

Pwin=Pwin(D, S)

PRICING LOGIC (WHERE EDGE LIVES)

For the first step, the payout is priced as:

M(D,S)=1 - EDGEPwin

This is where the house edge is charged.

For the rest of the steps, the payout is priced as:

M(D,S)=1Pwin

There is no additional edge being charged after the first step.

Chicken Game is a design game, any provider could decide to make each step a 50% likelihood of hit, if they have a 1% HE, the first step would have a multiplier of 1.98(0.99/0.5) and each subsequent step would increase that multiplier by 2x (Since HE no longer charged)

PROVIDER COMPARISON

Duel's table is still priced from a 99.20% RTP base, but its current 100% RTP mode returns that 0.80% edge on the first $50k of daily Chicken volume. That makes the effective house edge 0% during the allowance.

ProviderBase RTPBase House EdgePromoEffective House Edge
Duel99.20% table / 100.00% mode0.80%100% RTP up to $50k/day0.00% on first $50k/day, then 0.80%
Stake / Shuffle98.00%2.00%None2.00%
Rainbet96.00%4.00%None4.00%

First Casino

Live Economics

House edge: 0.800%

House Edge after Rakeback: 0.000%

STD: 3.30

Max Possible Win: 10.95x

Second Casino

Live Economics

House edge: 2.000%

House Edge after Rakeback: 2.000%

STD: 3.26

Max Possible Win: 10.81x

Shared Session

Run SnapshotDuel (Chicken Game) vs Stake (Chicken Game)