Game Theory Analysis
CHICKEN
Chicken
Guide your chicken across a road of oncoming traffic, one lane at a time. Each safe crossing multiplies your winnings. Stop and cash out, or push further for bigger rewards. One wrong step and you lose it all.
Chicken Game quick sim
Pick a provider, difficulty, and target step. Results are per 1 unit wagered.
EV -0.008
Multiplier ladder 1.32x - 1.8x - 2.49x - 3.52x - 5.12x - 7.68x - 11.95x - 19.42x - 33.29x - 61.03x - 122.06x - 274.64x - 732.38x - 2,563.33x - 15,379.97x
House Edge
0.80%
STD
3.297056
P(win)
8.301084%
Win Multiplier
11.950247x
OVERVIEW
Chicken Game is a step-based crash-style game with fixed odds per difficulty.
SETUP
- Choose your bet amount.
- Choose difficulty: Easy, Medium, Hard, or Expert.
- Choose your target step
Sand cash out there if reached.
ROUND FLOW
- Each round either reaches your selected step or busts before that step.
- If the run reaches step
S, you win the listed multiplier for that difficulty and step. - If it fails before step
S, the bet loses.
PAYOUT LOGIC
Your chosen step controls hit rate and payout tradeoff:
- Lower step -> higher hit rate -> lower payout.
- Higher step -> lower hit rate -> higher payout.
OVERVIEW
Chicken Game uses fixed probability and payout tables for each difficulty and step. The edge comes from how those multipliers are priced, and edge is charged at the first step. There's no math formula, each provider decides on how to reward users for each step. The higher the difficulty the less likely you're to be able to cross
PARAMETERS
| Symbol | Meaning |
|---|---|
M(D,S) | payout multiplier for that difficulty and step |
WIN PROBABILITY
Per difficulty and step, the hit rate is fixed:
PRICING LOGIC (WHERE EDGE LIVES)
For the first step, the payout is priced as:
This is where the house edge is charged.
For the rest of the steps, the payout is priced as:
There is no additional edge being charged after the first step.
Chicken Game is a design game, any provider could decide to make each step a 50% likelihood of hit, if they have a 1% HE, the first step would have a multiplier of 1.98(0.99/0.5) and each subsequent step would increase that multiplier by 2x (Since HE no longer charged)
PROVIDER COMPARISON
Duel's table is still priced from a 99.20% RTP base, but its current 100% RTP mode returns that 0.80% edge on the first $50k of daily Chicken volume. That makes the effective house edge 0% during the allowance.
First Casino
Live Economics
House edge: 0.800%
House Edge after Rakeback: 0.000%
STD: 3.30
Max Possible Win: 10.95x
Second Casino
Live Economics
House edge: 2.000%
House Edge after Rakeback: 2.000%
STD: 3.26
Max Possible Win: 10.81x
Shared Session